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Grocery chain CEO on food prices: 'My crystal ball is broken'
The US unemployment rate fell to 11.1% as the economy added a record 4.8 million jobs in June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday.
The data was far better than economists predicted, and the unemployment rate also fell more than expected. It was the second-consecutive month of growth after more than 20 million jobs were wiped out in April during the coronavirus lockdown. The reopening of the economy is easing the burden on America’s stressed labor market.
But after two months of rampant growth, the American economy is still down nearly 14.7 million jobs since February. Although the unemployment rate has come down from 14.7% in April, it remains higher than at any point during the Great Recession.
A full job market recovery is far from certain as long as the US economy remains in its current, deep recession, and “with the spread of the virus accelerating again, we expect the recovery from here will be a lot bumpier and job gains to be more muted,” said Michael Pearce, senior US economist at Capital Economics, in a note.
America is dealing with a severe joblessness crisis and millions of people are relying on government aid to make ends meet.
The Department of Labor also reported Thursday that 1.4 million workers – more than expected – filed for first-time unemployment benefits last week. While the claims data is collected weekly, the survey for the jobs report wraps around the middle of each month.
The number of Americans filing for unemployment at least two weeks in a row rose slightly, to 19.3 million. These numbers do not include claims filed for pandemic unemployment assistance.
For the fourth month in a row, the Labor Department noted that its data collectors misclassified some workers as “employed not at work,” when they should have been classified as “unemployed on temporary layoff.” If it weren’t for that issue, the unemployment rate would have been as high as 12.3% in June.
Millions of Americans face hardship
The pandemic recession arrived abruptly, but the recovery won’t be as fast.
America’s hospitality and leisure industries were hit the worst by the pandemic lockdown. As the economy reopens, the restaurants and bars are coming back: they added 1.5 million jobs in June, accounting for 30% of all US job gains last month. After two months of job gains, however, that sector is still down 3.1 million jobs since February, BLS Commissioner William Beach noted in a statement.
Americans are facing more uncertainty in the months to come even as the economy is reopening. At the top of the list of worries is a resurgence of Covid-19 infections. Parts of the country are already dealing with that, and some states have delayed or paused their reopening plans accordingly. That means it could take even longer for jobs to resurface after the lockdown.
Expanded unemployment benefits have helped people to make ends meet. The US CARES act bolstered benefits by $600 per week and allowed workers who usually aren’t eligible to claim aid, such as the self-employed, to make claims.
But the $600 extra per week expires at the end of July unless Congress acts to prolong it. For many laid off workers, this will make things harder.
Darcianne Erasmus, who was permanently laid off from her job in the leisure industry in Reno, Nevada, at the end of May, will see her unemployment benefits reduced to just $363 a week after the CARES Act expansion runs out. And new local jobs are hard to come by.
“We have a huge rent crisis in Reno and for me $1,085 a month for a studio was a huge problem even before the pandemic hit,” she told CNN Business.
Vehicles line up for food distribution in Clermont, Florida, on November 21.
Paul Hennessy/SOPA Images/Shutterstock
Hundreds of homeless people wait in line to receive food from the Los Angeles Mission on the day before Thanksgiving.
Etienne Laurent/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock
Volunteers prepare Thanksgiving meals at the Salvation Army in Orlando.
Paul Hennesy/NurPhoto/Getty Images
Two women take home free meals after waiting in a long line at a high school in South Gate, California, on November 25.
Allen J Schaben/Los Angeles Times/Shutterstock
Volunteers in Denver work at the Food Bank of the Rockies on November 25.
Kevin Mohatt/Reuters
Members of the Indiana National Guard assist food bank volunteers as they distribute Thanksgiving meals in Bloomington, Indiana, on November 20.
Jeremy Hogan/SOPA Images/Sipa/AP
People wait in line to receive food at the Bay Area Rescue Mission's Thanksgiving Giveaway in Richmond, California.
David Paul Morris/Bloomberg/Getty Images
Volunteers distribute turkeys and other foods in Clermont, Florida.
Paul Hennessy/SOPA Images/Sipa/AP Images
Cars line up as the Pantry 279 food bank hands out Thanksgiving meals in Bloomington, Indiana.
Jeremy Hogan/SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images
Cars line up at a food distribution site sponsored by local churches and the Second Harvest Food Bank of Central Florida.
Paul Hennessy/SOPA Images//Shutterstock
A volunteer puts on gloves before packing boxes of food outside the Second Harvest Food Bank in Irvine, California, on November 19.
Ashley Landis/AP
Volunteers direct traffic at a food distribution site in Clermont, Florida.
Paul Hennessy/SOPA Images/Shutterstock
The Food Bank for New York City hosted a pop-up food pantry in September.
Michael Loccisano/Getty Images for Food Bank for New York City
Paulina Bastidas-Yale helps distribute food at a Boston church in September.
David L. Ryan/The Boston Globe/Getty Images
Boxes of cereal are ready to be distributed at the Hope Rescue Mission in Reading, Pennsylvania, in August.
Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle/Getty Images
Volunteer Joseph Cunliffe holds a bag of bread to put in someone's car in Robesonia, Pennsylvania, in August.
Ben Hasty/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle/Getty Images
Drivers line up for a pop-up grocery event in Mankato, Minnesota, in July.
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A volunteer hands two dozen eggs to a Helping Harvest employee to give to someone in their car in Muhlenberg, Pennsylvania, in June.
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Volunteers load plastic bags with food in Everett, Massachusetts, during a weekly food pantry service run by Grace Ministries of the North Shore.
Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images
People line up for food assistance in Waltham, Massachusetts, in April.
Erin Clark/The Boston Globe/Getty Images
People wait in their cars for the San Antonio Food Bank to begin distributing food in April.
William Luther/The San Antonio Express-News/AP
Volunteers at the Capital Area Food Bank pack up boxes of food to be distributed in Washington, DC.
Drew Angerer/Getty Images
Volunteers and city employees prepare to hand out bags of food at a drive-through site in Opa-locka, Florida, in April. The food was provided by the food bank Feeding South Florida.
Joe Raedle/Getty Images
Gladys Socop helps to bag up food while volunteering at a pop-up food pantry in Chelsea, Massachusetts.
Erin Clark/The Boston Globe/Getty Images
National Guard members help pack food boxes at the Nourish Pierce County food bank in Tacoma, Washington.
Ruth Fremson/The New York Times/Redux
A line of cars waits to receive food at a distribution site in Van Nuys, California, in April.
Mario Tama/Getty Images
Bags of fruit await residents during a food drive in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Erin Clark/The Boston Globe/Getty Images
A volunteer in Phoenix hands over a box donated by St. Mary's Food Bank in April. The drive-through was set up for the general public on the campus of Phoenix College.
Ross D. Franklin/AP
Volunteers with Forgotten Harvest load food into vehicles at a mobile pantry in Detroit.
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
Volunteer Maria Cunningham sorts through bags of food before distributing them at a church in Des Moines, Iowa, in April.
Jack Kurtz/Zuma
Volunteers in Orlando hand out food from the Second Harvest Food Bank of Central Florida.
Paul Hennessy/Sipa/AP
Cars line up in a mall parking lot that was the site of a drive-through food pantry in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
Neil Blake/AP
Volunteer David Mack hands a woman food at the First AME Church in Athens, Georgia.
Joshua L. Jones/Athens Banner-Herald/USA Today
Donated supplies wait for distribution at the Capital Area Food Bank in Washington, DC.
Alex Edelman/AFP/Getty Images
A volunteer holds fruit while helping to distribute food at Pantry 279 in Ellettsville, Indiana.
Jeremy Hogan/Barcroft Media/Getty Images
An employee of the Food Bank for New York City transports a pallet of groceries in April.
David Dee Delgado/Getty Images
Treasure Coast Food Bank volunteer Lynn Goeke loads a box of apples into a vehicle during a drive-through food distribution in Fort Pierce, Florida.
Leah Voss/TCPalm/USA Today
People line up for food at Sharing & Caring Hands, a charity in Minneapolis, in March.
David Joles/Star Tribune/AP
With people out of work, food banks are stepping up
Rent forgiveness and mortgage forbearance programs protected people from being evicted from their homes during the peak of the crisis. But these initiatives are due to expire at some point as well, potentially creating more hardship for families already struggling.
This recession has created unimaginable hardship across the country. Nearly 9 million adults have less food available since the start of the pandemic and some 3.9 million children are living in food shortages, according to the Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly said the joblessness crisis hurt the most vulnerable workers the most, pointing at low-wage employees, as well as women, Black and Hispanic workers.
Although the unemployment rate has come down for all demographic groups, the June improvements are uneven. The unemployment rate is by far the lowest for White people at just 10.1%.
President Trump and his team of economic advisors noted that 404,000 Black workers gained employment in June, their second highest gain on record. That’s true, but like the other jobs data, the gains follow a deep decline. Black workers are still down 2.8 million jobs since February.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate for young people, aged 16 to 25, was a staggering 20.7%. Summer months are key for young workers, and jobs early in life set the stage for future earnings and career growth. At the same time last year, it was 8.7%.
Staying safe
For workers who are able to go back to their jobs already, the biggest worry is safety.
In Nevada, where hospitality and tourism are massive drivers of employment and economic activity, workers are scared that they’re putting themselves and their families at risk.
“We are very concerned about the reopening. It’s leaving the workers very vulnerable,” Geoconda Argüello-Kline, secretary-treasurer for the Culinary Workers Union, Local 226, told CNN Business.
On Monday, the union filed a lawsuit against three casino companies in Las Vegas over hazardous working conditions. It demands mandatory face masks, as well as regular Covid-19 testing for employees, among other things.
Sure, people are worrying about being unemployed, Argüello-Kline said, but workers with at-risk family members can’t just return to unsafe jobs.